TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the interplay between the first half and full game outcomes of a football match between Green Bay and Tampa Bay. Each market specifies different combinations of first half and full game results that must both occur for the market to settle positively.
All markets resolve based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Green Bay vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' both the specified first half result and the specified full game result must occur exactly as stated. If either the first half or full game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to 'No.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Each market corresponds to a unique pairing of first half and full game outcomes, requiring both to be correct for a positive resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public perception and betting biases found in traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market represents what traders believe will actually happen. Over time, prediction market odds often become more accurate than those offered by sportsbooks, especially as more information becomes available and the event draws closer. It's a fascinating comparison of different forecasting methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow provide valuable signals about the perceived value of each potential result, allowing traders to express their views and profit from accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Packers vs Buccaneers game – whether the Packers win the first half and the full game, or the Buccaneers win – will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game results and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process for all participants.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Buccaneers would have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can act as signals, indicating informed traders are taking strong positions.