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410,833

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Green Bay vs Tampa Bay: 1st Green Bay Touchdown
kalshi

What happens in Green Bay vs Tampa Bay?

Volume:
$5,195

Matthew Golden

 - Kalshi

Matthew Golden - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 1:43 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Matthew Golden

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,611
N/A
N/A
$2,575
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jonnu Smith

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$996
N/A
N/A
$996
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Watson

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$918
N/A
N/A
$900
Settled
No
kalshi

Tucker Kraft

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
$425
Settled
No
kalshi

Kaleb Johnson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$164
N/A
N/A
$164
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Brooks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
$47
Settled
No
kalshi

Skyy Moore

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
No
kalshi

GB Packers D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
kalshi

MarShawn Lloyd

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Love

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bo Melton

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mark Redman

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No Touchdown

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Whyle

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

These markets focus on predicting which player or team unit will score the first touchdown for Green Bay in an upcoming professional football game. Each market is tied to a specific participant, with outcomes determined by game events and participation status.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified Green Bay player or unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a snap is taken—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome depends solely on whether that participant scores the first Green Bay touchdown. If Green Bay fails to score any touchdowns during the game, the 'No Green Bay Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player and unit markets resolve to No. This structure applies uniformly across all participant-specific markets.

Frequently asked questions

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by individual traders' predictions, can sometimes offer more favorable odds, especially if there's disagreement with the broader public sentiment captured by sportsbooks. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups – bettors at sportsbooks versus forecasters on Kalshi. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or analytical approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the first Green Bay touchdown occurring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event happening. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of Green Bay scoring first. Conversely, selling 'yes' contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, constantly adjusting to new information and perspectives.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine whether Green Bay scored the first touchdown in the game against Tampa Bay. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to confirm which team reached the endzone first, finalizing the outcome for all traders involved in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key Green Bay offensive players, particularly the quarterback or wide receivers, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions favoring a strong running game or a passing attack, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any pre-game analysis suggesting a strategic shift in either team's offensive approach could lead to price movements. Finally, even large betting activity on sportsbooks could influence traders on Kalshi.