TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
New England wins by over 2.5 points
- Kalshi
New England wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:22h:43m
$
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming professional football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. The outcomes are determined solely by the final score of the match, reflecting the competitive balance between the two teams.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the Green Bay vs New England Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 8, 2026. If New England wins by exceeding the specified point margin listed in any market, that market resolves to Yes; if Green Bay wins by exceeding its listed margin, that corresponding market resolves to Yes. No market resolves if the game is canceled, forfeited, or otherwise does not conclude in full per official league protocols. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds closely mirror those found at sportsbooks, although differences can emerge. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are driven purely by trader conviction. If a significant number of traders believe one team will cover the spread, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. This difference can present opportunities for informed traders to exploit discrepancies between the two, capitalizing on perceived mispricings based on their own analysis of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the game’s expected outcome based on the wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Green Bay versus New England game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers and widely recognized sports news outlets. The market will determine which contract, representing a specific point spread, accurately reflects the final result of the game, and those holding winning contracts will receive a payout.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game’s style of play. Major announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the days leading up to the game, or even during the game itself, have the potential to move this market considerably.