TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players or teams score a certain number of touchdowns in an upcoming football game. It covers individual performances and defensive scores, providing insights into potential game dynamics and player contributions.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player or team records the required number of touchdowns during the full game, including overtime. Contracts are protected, meaning if a player participates in the first half but not afterward, they resolve to the fair price unless they meet the touchdown criteria. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion. Passing touchdowns do not count toward the passer’s total, and team defense/special-teams selections settle on actual touchdowns without the player participation exception applying to them.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the prices here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as event time approaches, due to the continuous flow of information and diverse perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders place buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes. The current price reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices can fluctuate rapidly as new information emerges or as traders adjust their expectations. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at various price points—indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders regarding the likelihood of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of touchdowns scored in the Green Bay Packers versus Detroit Lions game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Lions would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable or unfavorable for passing, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.