TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of both teams in a specific football game, focusing on how many field goals each team successfully kicks. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will achieve a certain number of field goals, adding an additional layer of analysis to the game's outcome.
The markets resolve based on the total number of field goals made by each specified team during the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of field goals (ranging from 1 to 4) for either team. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring that bets are settled equitably even when external factors affect the game's timing. All markets are independent, with each one evaluating a specific field goal threshold for the respective team.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are determined by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe sportsbooks are undervaluing or overvaluing the likelihood of a certain number of field goals, the prices here will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to more accurate probabilities than those found at traditional sportsbooks, though discrepancies can occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders submit bids (buy orders) and asks (sell orders) for contracts representing different outcomes. The current price reflects the probability that a particular outcome will occur, as determined by the collective actions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises prices, while increased selling pressure lowers them. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of field goals scored by both the Green Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions during the game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding losing contracts will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the prices in this market. Any news regarding key players – injuries to kickers or quarterbacks, for example – would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly wind, could also impact the probability of successful field goal attempts. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or offensive adjustments could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, any public analysis or expert predictions regarding the expected scoring output could influence trading activity.