TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Detroit will win their game against Green Bay by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Detroit winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 75.0%. The market will resolve based on the final score of the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game, with resolution details available from the game outcome if Detroit wins by more than 20.5 points. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 25, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
The markets resolve based on the point differential of the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If Detroit wins by exceeding the specified point margin defined in the market, that market resolves to Yes; if Green Bay wins by exceeding the specified margin, the corresponding Green Bay market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves solely based on its own threshold being met, regardless of other market outcomes. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Frequently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often adjust lines to balance betting action and incorporate a 'vig' or commission, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders predicting the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, and the influence of public opinion. If there’s a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the game's expected outcome, driven entirely by trader activity and their individual predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Green Bay Packers versus Detroit Lions game. The market will settle to 100 if the Packers win by more than the spread, 0 if they lose or win by less than the spread, and a value in between based on the final margin. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Lions would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game might also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Finally, any major shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams’ chances of winning could contribute to volatility in this market.