TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Green Bay and Detroit. Participants bet on whether the designated player will meet certain statistical thresholds. The outcome depends directly on the actual in-game performance of these players.
Contracts pay out based on the rushing yards accumulated by designated players during the specified game. Each Yes contract pays $0.0025 for every rushing yard recorded, capped at $1.00, while No contracts pay the difference from $1.00. Payouts are scalar and proportional to yardage, with examples showing how different yardage totals translate to specific contract values. The structure ensures that total payouts for Yes and No contracts always sum to $1.00, reflecting the inverse relationship between the two outcomes. The market is explicitly unaffiliated with the NFL.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse opinions of many individuals. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move more quickly in response to breaking news, while this market may take longer to fully incorporate new information. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price discovery process, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of potential rushing yard totals for the Packers and Lions.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official statistics released by the NFL. The market will determine which rushing yard ladder outcome was achieved based on the combined rushing yards of players from both teams, as defined by the market specifications on Kalshi.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on both the Packers and Lions would be major catalysts, as would any changes to the teams' offensive game plans. Weather conditions on game day, such as rain or snow, could also influence the rushing attack. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or player matchups could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information about player health or availability will likely cause price fluctuations in this market.