TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Green Bay and Detroit. Participants can bet on how many rushing yards a designated player will accumulate, with payouts increasing progressively based on the total yards achieved. The structure rewards higher performance with exponentially larger returns.
The event features two parallel scalar markets evaluating rushing yard performance for Jahmyr Gibbs and MarShawn Lloyd in the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market uses identical payout structures: Yes contracts pay according to a cubic scaling formula based on rushing yards achieved in 10-yard increments up to a maximum of 200 yards, where payouts range from $0.0000 for 0–9 yards to $1.0000 for 200+ yards. The formula calculates payouts as floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y equals min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))) and s represents official rushing yards. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout, with negative yardage resulting in $0.00 payouts for Yes contracts. Both markets resolve to Yes regardless of outcome after the game concludes, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming official affiliation with the governing league. All trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes related to the total rushing yards in the Packers-Lions game. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, these prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time reflection of collective predictions. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at various price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals for both the Green Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the actual combined rushing yards achieved during the game. It is important to note that any adjustments or corrections to the official statistics will be reflected in the final resolution of this market. The outcome will be determined by the verified total, not by any pre-game predictions.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Injury reports for key running backs on either the Packers or Lions will be closely watched, as their availability directly impacts expected rushing yardage. Weather conditions on game day, particularly rain or snow, could favor a more run-heavy offensive approach, shifting probabilities. News regarding coaching strategies or changes in offensive line personnel could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in predictions. This market will resolve around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting.