TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether a specific player achieves various incremental rushing yard thresholds in a designated football game. Each threshold represents a different level of performance, allowing participants to speculate on the player's potential output during the match.
All markets resolve based on whether Jahmyr Gibbs records the specified number of rushing yards or more in the Green Bay vs Detroit professional football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If Gibbs is active for the game but does not take a snap, all markets settle at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Gibbs takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets settle according to the actual rushing yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds, from 60+ to 180+ rushing yards, ensuring consistent evaluation for each incremental market.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a unique form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing yards. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time forecast of the likely rushing yardage total in the Packers-Lions game.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yardage total from the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a reputable sports data source, will be the basis for settlement. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predicted outcome aligned with the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes to the expected weather conditions for the game. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or defensive matchups could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about player availability or performance expectations will likely impact trading activity and the overall pricing of contracts in this market.