TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:40 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess whether a specific player, Jahmyr Gibbs, will achieve certain cumulative yardage thresholds through both rushing and receiving in an upcoming football game. The thresholds represent increasing levels of performance, with each market focusing on a different benchmark. Outcomes depend entirely on the player's actual in-game statistics.
All three markets evaluate Jahmyr Gibbs' combined rushing and receiving yards in the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026, with each market resolving to Yes only if Gibbs surpasses a specific yardage threshold (140+, 165+, or 190+). A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if Gibbs is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. However, once Gibbs takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any resulting plays are nullified by penalties—the market resolves strictly based on the total rushing and receiving yards he records during the game. These provisions ensure that markets reflect actual in-game performance while accounting for pre-game uncertainty about player participation.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information different from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on implied probabilities, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes be more accurate, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. You may find that this market diverges from sportsbook lines based on factors like public sentiment or specialized knowledge among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics for the Green Bay Packers versus Detroit Lions game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yardage totals for all players will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. The resolution will be based on official NFL data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process for settling this market. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key players on both the Packers and Lions are significant catalysts, as they directly impact expected yardage totals. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or offensive line matchups could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could sway trader sentiment and move prices in this market.