TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:11 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often specific players attempt to run with the ball during an upcoming football game between Green Bay and Detroit. The outcomes depend on whether designated players reach certain thresholds of rushing attempts. Markets adjust based on player participation and in-game performance.
All markets resolve based on the total number of rushing attempts recorded by specified players during the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. For each market, if the named player achieves the stated threshold of rushing attempts, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly according to the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in resolution based on in-game performance and pre-snap market conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information access, differing analytical approaches, or simply the influence of public sentiment. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing attempts totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at different price points, also provides insights into the strength of conviction behind various predictions. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate assessments, as profitable predictions yield financial gains.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing attempts total from the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will serve as the basis for resolution. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and verification of the official statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Injury reports for key players on either team, particularly running backs and offensive linemen, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or snow, could also shift expectations regarding rushing frequency. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or game plans might also cause movement. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi could signal shifts in market sentiment and lead to price adjustments as traders react to new information or perspectives.