TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:54 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the number of receptions achieved by specific players in an upcoming NFL game between Green Bay and Detroit. Participants can bet on whether each player will reach certain reception thresholds, with payouts scaling based on actual performance.
Each market functions as a scalar prediction mechanism where Yes contracts pay $0.05 per reception recorded by the specified player during the game, up to a maximum payout of $1.00. The No contracts pay the remainder of $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are capped at 20 receptions and are proportional to the holder's position size. For instance, if a player records eight receptions, the Yes payout would be $0.40 and the No payout $0.60; eleven receptions would result in a Yes payout of $0.55 and a No payout of $0.45, while zero receptions would yield a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. All markets resolve based solely on the official game statistics, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NFL.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each player exceeding a specific reception total. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels – indicates the strength of conviction behind each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official reception totals for each player in the Green Bay Packers versus Detroit Lions game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the final, official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. All contracts will be settled based on these official numbers.
Several factors could influence the Packers-Lions receptions market. Injury reports are a major catalyst; news of a key receiver being sidelined would likely shift volume towards other players. Changes in weather conditions – particularly if it’s expected to be windy or rainy – could impact passing game volume and therefore reception totals. Pre-game news regarding player matchups or offensive strategies could also move the market. Finally, any significant news about player health or availability leading up to kickoff will likely cause price adjustments in this market.