TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game. Each market focuses on whether a designated player reaches a certain reception threshold. The outcomes are determined by official game statistics, with specific rules for handling player participation and penalties.
All markets in this event are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless the player meets the required reception threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event includes full-game receptions, including overtime. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both prediction market prices and sportsbook odds will adjust. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently than traditional betting markets, especially as the event draws closer and trading volume increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect a collective prediction. The higher the price of a contract, the greater the implied probability of that reception total being achieved. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, constantly updating as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for both the Green Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the combined total receptions achieved by players on both teams during the game. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual on-field performance of the players involved.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts – particularly conditions that favor passing or running. Significant news regarding team strategies or quarterback performance could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or even in-game developments, such as a dominant performance by one team’s passing attack, could lead to substantial price movements in this market.