TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks receiving performance for multiple players in a specific football game between Green Bay and Detroit. Participants can bet on whether each player's yardage will meet certain criteria, with payouts scaling based on actual yardage achieved.
Each market operates as a scalar betting structure where Yes contracts pay proportionally to the receiving yards accumulated by the named player, at a rate of $0.0025 per yard, capped at $1.00 for up to 400 yards. No contracts pay the remainder, calculated as $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts scale linearly with yardage—for example, 80 yards yields a Yes payout of $0.20 and a No payout of $0.80, while 200 yards results in equal $0.50 payouts for both positions. Zero yards result in a full $1.00 payout for No contracts and nothing for Yes. All markets resolve based solely on official game statistics, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming any affiliation with the NFL or ownership of related trademarks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard thresholds. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about whether a player will surpass that yardage total. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges—such as injury reports or weather forecasts—the prices will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of player performance expectations. This creates a real-time, crowdsourced forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Green Bay Packers versus Detroit Lions game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine which players exceeded the various receiving yard thresholds offered in this market. Resolution will occur after the conclusion of the game and the official stats are finalized, ensuring an accurate and transparent outcome for all participants.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they indicate heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing game expectations and shift the market. Late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching strategies could also influence traders’ assessments, leading to adjustments in the prices for different receiving yard thresholds. Unexpected starting lineup changes would also be a key signal.