TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of individual players in an upcoming football game, with payouts scaling based on the number of receiving yards each player achieves. Contracts offer varying returns depending on yardage milestones, creating opportunities to speculate on player performance.
Each market features a series of Yes and No contracts tied to a specific player's receiving yards in the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Yes contracts pay out according to a tiered schedule based on every 10 receiving yards achieved by the designated player, with payouts increasing non-linearly up to a maximum of $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula uses a cubic function scaled to the yardage range, ensuring higher rewards for exceeding higher thresholds. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, effectively creating a zero-sum outcome where total payouts for both positions equal $1.00 per contract pair. Negative yardage results assign a $0.00 payout to Yes contracts. All markets resolve to Yes following the game, regardless of individual performance outcomes, with Kalshi explicitly stating no official affiliation with the governing league.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price isn’t a direct probability, but can be interpreted as one – a higher price suggests a greater perceived chance of that outcome. The current volume indicates the level of interest in different yardage ranges.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual total receiving yards achieved during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be rewarded based on the final price of their contracts. It’s important to monitor the game and official statistics as they become available to understand how the market is likely to settle.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers and tight ends on both the Packers and Lions are crucial; a star player being ruled out would likely shift the odds. Weather conditions, particularly if there's heavy rain or wind, could affect passing game volume and therefore receiving yards. Game script – whether the game is a high-scoring shootout or a defensive struggle – will also be a major driver. Finally, any significant news regarding coaching strategies or player matchups could influence trader sentiment and move this market.