TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players achieve various receiving yard thresholds in an upcoming football game. The markets focus on individual performance metrics rather than the overall game outcome, allowing bettors to speculate on player productivity.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but not after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price unless the player meets the specified receiving yards threshold. Actual statistics determine resolution if the player participates in any play after the first half. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with 'above or at-least' payout criteria, and all statistics include overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks often incorporate biases or attempt to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prices in this market tend to adjust more rapidly and efficiently than traditional sportsbook odds. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event draws closer, as traders incorporate new data into their assessments.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions players are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official data released by the NFL following the completion of the game. The market will determine which outcomes – specifically, which players exceeded their yardage thresholds – are validated by the official statistics. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the resolved outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact the prices in this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on both the Packers and Lions would be major catalysts, as their availability directly affects potential receiving yardage. Changes in the weather forecast – particularly if heavy rain or strong winds are predicted – could also influence the passing game and, therefore, receiving yards. Unexpected starting quarterback changes or shifts in offensive play-calling strategies could also lead to substantial price movements in this market.