TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.8b
24H VOL:
$742,973,284
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,895,743
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,215,342,919
426,856
Markets across
40,308
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,596
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 21 points in an upcoming football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on the pace of scoring rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the in-game progression of points.
The event determines whether Detroit, Green Bay, or neither team will be the first to score 21 points in the Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 25, 2026. If either Detroit or Green Bay reaches 21 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the 'Neither Team' market resolves to Yes. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, trading continues and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not commence within this window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring adherence to transparent and equitable principles throughout all scenarios.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of either team reaching 21 points. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each system. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbook odds in response to breaking news or changing sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific team will reach 21 points first, the price of those contracts increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Packers-Lions game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team, the Green Bay Packers or the Detroit Lions, reaches 21 points first during the game. The final score, as officially recorded by sports authorities, will determine the winning outcome for this market. No further information about the resolution process is available.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Lions would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or team morale might also shift perceptions and affect the price. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and move the market.