TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach a score of 10 points in an upcoming football game. It captures the dynamic early-game momentum between the two competing teams. The outcome depends purely on the scoring sequence during the match.
The event determines whether Detroit, Green Bay, or neither team is the first to score 10 points in the Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If either Detroit or Green Bay reaches 10 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If neither team achieves this milestone, the 'Neither Team' market resolves to Yes. Postponements that occur within 48 hours of the original start time do not affect the market, which will resolve based on the final official game result. Should the game fail to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under any scheduling contingencies.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house biases or public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each team reaching 10 points first. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts the perceived likelihood of either the Packers or the Lions achieving the milestone.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each outcome – in this case, either the Packers or the Lions reaching 10 points first. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The closer the game gets, the more volatile the price movements may become.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, the Packers or the Lions, reached 10 points first during the game. The result will be based on official game statistics, and the platform will verify the outcome against trusted sources to ensure accuracy. The final price of the winning contract will reflect the probability assigned to that team by the market at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Lions would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they favor one team's offensive style, could also impact trader sentiment. In-game events, such as early scoring drives or turnovers, would lead to rapid price adjustments as the probability of each outcome shifts. Even general public perception and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks can indirectly influence trading activity in this market.