TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:40 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether specific players will record a longest reception exceeding defined yardage thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each market focuses on a different player's performance, evaluating if they achieve a significant receiving play during the match.
All markets resolve based on whether the named player records a longest reception exceeding the specified yardage threshold in the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual longest reception recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for each specified player, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance metrics under the stated conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis that might not be immediately priced into traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own models, while this market evolves as traders buy and sell contracts, effectively forecasting the outcome. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities differ from those offered by sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect the true probabilities of events as they approach.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy 'yes' contracts (betting a player will have the longest reception) and sell 'no' contracts. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome. As more people buy 'yes' contracts for a particular player, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of potential outcomes for the longest reception in this game.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception in the Green Bay Packers versus Detroit Lions game, as officially recorded by game statistics, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game data and will be verified to ensure accuracy. Traders will be able to see the final result and the settlement of their contracts following the completion of the game and official data release.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key receivers on either team, would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact passing game strategies and affect which players are favored. Additionally, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated player performance statistics could sway trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news about team tactics or player matchups could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.