TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns they achieve. It allows participants to speculate on whether a player will reach certain scoring milestones during the match. The outcome depends purely on the players' ability to connect with receivers for touchdowns throughout the game.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing touchdowns recorded by either Jared Goff or Jordan Love in the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. For any market, if the named quarterback is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves according to the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 1+, 2+, etc.), and if the quarterback meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. These rules apply independently to each quarterback and each threshold, allowing for multiple simultaneous assessments of performance within the same game.
Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to differing participant motivations and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating unique insights or reacting more quickly to new information than traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities, with this market potentially offering a different perspective on the likely number of passing touchdowns than conventional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit bids (what they're willing to pay) and asks (what they're willing to sell for) for contracts representing different outcomes. The current market price is determined by the best available bid and ask. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means prices fluctuate based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving expectations of traders regarding the number of passing touchdowns in the game. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher its price will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by both the Green Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions during the game will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent result. Traders will then be able to collect payouts based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.