TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:13 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the number of passing touchdowns achieved by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Green Bay and Detroit. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of touchdowns for either quarterback, determining whether they meet or exceed that benchmark during the game.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half, including overtime, the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kickoff unless the player records the required number of passing touchdowns. If the player participates in at least one play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics, regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event considers full game passing touchdowns including overtime. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public bias or sharp action. Sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting patterns, but this market allows for continuous price discovery as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets converge towards the ‘true’ probability of an event as it approaches, sometimes diverging from sportsbook lines due to differing information sources and analytical approaches. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, into its predictions about the number of passing touchdowns in the Packers-Lions game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of passing touchdowns scored by both the Green Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions during the official game will determine the final result. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances after the resolution process is complete.