TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks Jared Goff and Jordan Love in a specific football game, focusing on their ability to achieve varying levels of passing completions. The outcome depends on whether each player meets or exceeds predetermined thresholds during the match.
The event evaluates whether Jared Goff or Jordan Love achieve specified passing completion thresholds in the Green Bay vs Detroit Professional Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold for completions—21+, 26+, and 31+ for Goff, and 19+, 24+, and 29+ for Love. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a snap is taken, regardless of whether it is nullified by a penalty, the market resolves based on the actual completions recorded during the game. These rules ensure clarity and fairness in resolving outcomes based on in-game performance, accounting for scenarios where a player may not participate despite being listed as active.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks may also incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. Over time, as more information becomes available and more people trade, this market tends to converge towards what many consider the 'true' probability of various outcomes. However, discrepancies can still exist due to differing market participants and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the number of passing completions. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing expectations regarding the Packers-Lions game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing completions achieved by both the Green Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions during the game will determine the result. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will be used to settle the market. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual number of completions.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries – particularly quarterbacks or wide receivers for either team – would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing game strategies and, therefore, the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching decisions or team tactics could shift trader sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, any public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the expected passing volume could move this market.