TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many times specific quarterbacks attempt to pass the ball during a football game between Green Bay and Detroit. Each market focuses on a different threshold of pass attempts for either quarterback, allowing participants to speculate on their performance in the game.
These markets resolve based on the number of passing attempts made by the named quarterbacks—Jared Goff or Jordan Love—during the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. For each market, if the specified quarterback records the stated number of passing attempts or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if a quarterback is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based strictly on the actual number of passing attempts recorded during the game. These provisions ensure clarity and fairness in resolving outcomes, particularly in scenarios where a quarterback’s participation is limited or disrupted.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to trade on their own informed opinions. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the odds here can shift more rapidly than those at sportsbooks. It's common to see this market converge towards the eventual outcome as the event approaches, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total passing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular passing attempt total is likely, the higher the contract price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, constantly adjusting to new information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempt totals for both the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally of passing attempts, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks' health – for either team – would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions favoring a run-heavy or pass-heavy offense, could also drive movement. Unexpected coaching decisions about offensive strategy, or even in-game adjustments during the contest, could also influence trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking injury reports affecting key receivers or offensive linemen could shift expectations and alter the odds in this market.