TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game between Green Bay and Detroit. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire match, including any overtime periods.
The event determines whether Green Bay, Detroit, or neither team scores the first touchdown in the Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. All touchdowns—including those by offensive, defensive, or special teams units—count towards resolution, even if scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to score first, the price for that outcome will decrease, potentially offering better value than what’s available at a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and can be influenced by various factors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either the Packers or the Lions scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team scoring first. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest in each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, following the completion of the Green Bay Packers versus Detroit Lions game. The outcome will be determined by which team is officially credited with scoring the first touchdown, as verified against credible public reporting. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for confirming the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Lions would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s offensive style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might influence trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Oct 25, 2026.