TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming football game between Green Bay and Detroit. It captures the competitive performance of both teams during a specific segment of the match, highlighting short-term scoring ability rather than the overall game result.
The market determines the winner of the third quarter in the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific outcome: Detroit winning the quarter, Green Bay winning the quarter, or neither team winning (a tie). The resolution depends solely on which team scores the most points during the third quarter alone, with points from other quarters being irrelevant. If both teams score an equal number of points in the quarter, all team markets resolve as No, and the Tie market resolves as Yes. The outcome is strictly based on third-quarter performance, making this a focused assessment of each team's offensive and defensive efficiency within that single quarter.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates individual predictions. However, sportsbook odds can initially move markets, particularly before significant volume accumulates. As more people trade, this market should converge toward a more accurate probability assessment of which team will win the third quarter, potentially diverging from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information or perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, the Packers or the Lions winning the third quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current probability assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the third quarter of the Green Bay Packers versus Detroit Lions game will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and scoring, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The final price of the winning contract will determine payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome of the third quarter.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries to key offensive players for either the Packers or the Lions would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also move the market. Even unexpected coaching decisions or pre-game reports about team strategy could influence traders’ perceptions and lead to price fluctuations. Overall game momentum during the first and second quarters could also affect predictions for the third quarter.