TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:17 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the second quarter of an upcoming football game between Green Bay and Detroit. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that bettors can wager on, reflecting expectations about how high-scoring the quarter might be.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of the designated Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: if the combined second-quarter points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Thresholds range from 3.5 points to 24.5 points in increments of 3 points, allowing bettors to assess varying levels of scoring intensity. Only points scored during the second quarter count—points from any other quarter are irrelevant. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one threshold does not affect others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s price is driven purely by supply and demand from traders. If many traders believe the actual total points will be higher than the sportsbook’s over/under, the price for that outcome will increase. This can create opportunities for arbitrage or simply a more accurate forecast of the game’s outcome than traditional odds alone.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, whether the total points scored in the 2nd quarter will be over or under a certain number. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract fluctuates based on the forces of supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and reflect the collective beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second quarter between the Green Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions will be used to determine the winning outcome. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the source of truth for the total points scored during that period. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Lions would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift trader sentiment. Even public perception, driven by pre-game analysis and expert opinions, can play a role. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly alter the price, reflecting new information or strategic positioning.