TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between Green Bay and Detroit during a specific quarter of their scheduled football game. It focuses exclusively on the second quarter's scoring dynamics to determine outcomes based on point differentials.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either team to resolve as 'Yes'. If Detroit wins the quarter by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, or 3.5 points, respective markets resolve to 'Yes'. Similarly, if Green Bay wins by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, the corresponding markets resolve to 'Yes'. If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to 'No'. The official game result or any other quarter's performance are irrelevant; only second-quarter scoring matters.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s price is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the Packers-Lions 2nd quarter spread. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts, predicting the Packers-Lions 2nd quarter spread will be greater than the listed value, or 'no' contracts, predicting it will be less. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the probability of each outcome, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. As more trades occur, the price dynamically adjusts to represent the collective assessment of all participants. This creates a real-time, market-driven forecast of the second quarter spread.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second quarter of the Green Bay Packers versus Detroit Lions game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will resolve based on the official spread reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Packers or the Lions would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they significantly impact the expected playing conditions, could also shift the market. Unexpected news about team strategy or coaching decisions might also play a role. Finally, large trading volume on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders, can create momentum and move the price, even without external news.