TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second half of an upcoming football game between Green Bay and Detroit. It specifically evaluates performance from the start of the third quarter through the end of regulation time, including any overtime periods.
If Detroit wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Green Bay wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and expert analysis. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models, but these can be swayed by biases or attempts to balance betting action. This market, like others, can sometimes show a different probability distribution than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges and more traders participate. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into where the crowd believes the value lies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds can change in real-time based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the second half of the Green Bay Packers versus Detroit Lions game will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or Lions would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or in-game performance during the first half of the game could also drive trading activity. Public sentiment and expert analysis leading up to and during the game will play a role in how this market evolves.