TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:16 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points Green Bay and Detroit will score together in the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle the outcome. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward these markets.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by Green Bay and Detroit in the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market specifies a unique threshold—ranging from more than 3.5 points to more than 24.5 points—that the teams must exceed for the market to resolve as 'Yes.' If the combined score does not meet or exceed the specified threshold, the market resolves as 'No.' Points from any period other than the first quarter are irrelevant to all markets. These markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others, though all depend on the same underlying game data. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases and promotional offers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into where the crowd and the books disagree on the Packers-Lions first quarter total.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the first quarter total being over or under a certain number. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic and real-time forecast. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their prediction is correct.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the first quarter of the Green Bay Packers versus Detroit Lions game will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the 'yes' or 'no' outcome. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the final score, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Lions would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.