TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of an upcoming football game between Green Bay and Detroit. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory for either team within that initial 15-minute segment.
All markets resolve based solely on the point difference between Green Bay and Detroit during the first quarter of their game scheduled for October 25, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team's lead exceeds the specified point threshold defined in each individual market—ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points—for either Green Bay or Detroit. Only points scored during the first quarter count, meaning any scoring occurring in later quarters has no impact on resolution. The markets cover various victory margins, allowing participants to speculate on the exact competitiveness of the opening quarter. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on their own analysis and may adjust them based on betting action, while this market is driven by individuals trading contracts based on their own beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two types of markets.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the actual point spread achieved in the first quarter of the Green Bay Packers versus Detroit Lions game. The final point spread will be determined by official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be the contract closest to the actual first quarter spread, and those holding winning contracts will receive a payout.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or Lions would likely cause a shift in the odds. Significant changes in weather forecasts for the game location could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also impact the market. Finally, large-volume trades from informed individuals could create momentum and drive price fluctuations in this market, potentially indicating new information or a shift in sentiment.