TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team will lead at halftime in an upcoming football game between Green Bay and Detroit. It focuses solely on the performance during the first half, ignoring the final result of the full game. The outcome depends on which team scores more points in the first two quarters.
If Detroit wins the 1st Half of the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Green Bay wins the 1st Half of the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Half of the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging due to differing information or perspectives. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s prices are driven by traders actively buying and selling contracts, revealing what they believe the true probabilities are. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market anticipates factors not fully accounted for by sportsbooks, such as potential injuries or strategic changes. However, it’s common to see both sets of odds converge as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in their chances. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders. The current market indicates the perceived likelihood of each team winning the first half.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the first half of the Green Bay Packers versus Detroit Lions game will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the first half winner will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game and official results to understand the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, as game day approaches, any public statements from coaches or players, or even shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks, could influence trader behavior on Kalshi. Major news events or even social media trends related to the teams could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.