TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks scoring performance in the first half of an upcoming football game between two teams. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold that either team must exceed to determine the outcome. The resolution depends solely on the actual points scored by each team during the first half of the game.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by either Green Bay or Detroit in the first half of the Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a specified point threshold; if the specified team scores more than that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Thresholds vary from just over 2.5 points up to over 30.5 points for each team, allowing participants to bet on different levels of scoring performance. All markets are independent, and the outcome of one does not affect the others. The official game result, as recorded by the governing league, will determine resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially have different lines, they often adjust closer to game time, potentially converging with the prediction market price as more public opinion is factored in.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction format, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals for the Packers and Lions in the first half. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. The market’s price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official first half team totals for both the Green Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to see the final results and contract payouts shortly after the conclusion of the first half of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Lions would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable conditions for passing or running, could also impact expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift the market. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.