TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the interplay between the first half and full game outcomes in an upcoming football match. Each market requires a specific combination of results in both halves to settle, making them contingent on both short-term and overall performance dynamics.
All markets resolve based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Green Bay vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. For a market to resolve as Yes, both the specified first half result and the specified full game result must occur exactly as described. If either the first half or full game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to No. Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original schedule keep markets open for resolution based on the final official result. Games not starting within 48 hours of the scheduled time will resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, each requiring a unique pairing of first half and full game outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on team performance, injuries, or other factors influencing the game. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of expected outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards a fair and efficient assessment of the game's likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Packers vs Lions game—specifically, the 1st Half / Fulltime Result—will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and records, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Unexpected injuries to key players on either the Packers or Lions would likely cause shifts in the odds. Major changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. News regarding coaching decisions or team strategies might also prompt adjustments. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased volume and price movement in this market.