TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:47 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which Detroit player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game against Green Bay. Each market is tied to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by game events.
The markets resolve based on which Detroit player or unit scores the first touchdown in the specified Green Bay vs Detroit professional football game originally scheduled for October 25, 2026. If the designated player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once the player takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on whether that player scores the first touchdown for Detroit. If no Detroit touchdowns are scored in the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other player markets resolve to No. Each individual player or unit market resolves to Yes only if that specific player or unit scores the first touchdown for Detroit; otherwise, it resolves to No.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts, and the price of each contract reflects the perceived probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that outcome. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the game approaches. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if a specific player scores the first touchdown.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, following the completion of the Green Bay versus Detroit game. The outcome will be determined by which player officially scores the first touchdown for the Detroit Lions, as verified against credible public reporting of the game’s results. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the definitive record for determining the winning outcome in this market. The platform will then process payouts to those who correctly predicted the first Detroit touchdown scorer.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key Detroit offensive players, especially those likely to be involved in goal-line situations, would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if conditions are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also impact the perceived probabilities. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or play-calling tendencies could lead to traders adjusting their positions, causing the price of contracts to fluctuate before this market resolves.