TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Duke
- Kalshi
Duke - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 01d:01h:18m
$
This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between the Green Bay Phoenix and the Duke Blue Devils, scheduled for November 3, 2026. The markets aim to determine which team wins the game.
This event is for the WBB game between Green Bay Phoenix and Duke Blue Devils on November 3 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the women's college basketball game between Green Bay and Duke originally scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective beliefs of informed traders. This market’s odds can provide a unique perspective, potentially identifying discrepancies where the crowd disagrees with the sportsbook. The volume of $2,410 suggests significant interest in this event, potentially leading to more accurate predictions than those solely based on sportsbook lines.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading mechanisms and fee structures also differ, influencing price discovery. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $2,410 overall – isn't necessarily distributed evenly, leading to localized price pressures. These differences create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders exploit price discrepancies across platforms.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Green Bay Phoenix vs. Duke Blue Devils women's basketball game. The outcome of this market will reflect the final score and winning team as reported by official sources. Traders should monitor reputable sports news outlets for the official result, as this will determine the payout for this market.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role. Major upsets in other related games might also indirectly impact the perceived probabilities. A significant influx of volume, such as a large trade on Polymarket or Kalshi, could also cause a noticeable price movement.