TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 10:07 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-04 17:00 UTC: If the Green Bay Packers win, the market will resolve to "Green Bay Packers". If the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Buccaneers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-04 17:00 UTC: If the Green Bay Packers win, the market will resolve to "Green Bay Packers". If the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Buccaneers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there’s significant public interest. However, sportsbook odds represent another data point for evaluating the potential outcome of the game, and can be useful for comparison.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the current market consensus on the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as conditions change, providing a forward-looking assessment of the game’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Packers-Buccaneers game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Buccaneers would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also move the market. Additionally, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence trader behavior and alter the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking team news are other factors that could lead to notable movements in this market.