TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sports
Greece vs Germany: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Greece vs Germany?

Volume:
$178,750

Germany wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Germany wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:38 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Germany wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,563
N/A
N/A
$50,246
Settled
No
kalshi

Greece wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,869
N/A
N/A
$30,647
Settled
No
kalshi

Germany wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,319
N/A
N/A
$33,753
Settled
No
kalshi

Greece wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,000
N/A
N/A
$9,033
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

The Greece vs Germany match will also be judged purely on goal-differential thresholds. Victory margins determine whether specific markets regarding either team's dominance are satisfied.

Kalshi

If Greece wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Greece vs Germany professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Greece wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Greece vs Germany professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Germany wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Greece vs Germany professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Germany wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Greece vs Germany professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Greece vs Germany match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing the likelihood of different outcomes, along with the total volume traded in the last 24 hours, currently at $148,832. The total volume for this market is $178,750. This allows you to monitor market sentiment and activity as the event approaches. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the potential spread in this contest.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market believes the true probability lies, compared to how sportsbooks initially assess the Greece vs Germany match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at various price points, indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders regarding the potential spread in the Greece vs Germany match. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly efficient and informative market.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Greece vs Germany match, as determined by official sports statistics, will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the completion of the match and verification of the official results.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly impact market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game commentary from analysts could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding how the market is reacting to new information leading up to the Greece vs Germany match.