TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:45 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 4 at 2:45 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 4 at 2:45 PM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the long run. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many individual traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence early movement in this market, and discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments or market participants. It’s common to see the odds converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the odds closely align with the perceived probability of each outcome, as determined by the traders themselves. The current volume of $42,985 indicates the level of engagement in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Greece vs. Germany match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution process relies on publicly available and widely accepted data to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants. Traders will be able to see the confirmed result on Predict following the conclusion of the match, and payouts will be processed accordingly.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or positive/negative reports on team performance, are likely to cause price fluctuations. Major upsets in other related matches or changes in public perception based on expert analysis could also contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for informed trading.