TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:43 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 4 at 2:45 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 4 at 2:45 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and public betting patterns, this market represents the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potentially identifying mispriced outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, information advantages held by traders, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and shifts in sentiment regarding the Greece vs. Germany match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Greece vs. Germany match, as reported by a widely recognized sports news source. Traders will be able to view the final result and the corresponding payout for their shares once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket. The market will close and payouts will be distributed shortly after the official result is available.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Greece or Germany would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related matches or significant public endorsements of either team could also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves leading up to the event.