TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

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$290,393,159

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Greece vs. Germany - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Greece vs Germany?

Volume:
$640

Neither

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 6:44 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Neither

View
100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Neither

View
3%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
$32
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

GRC

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$3,003
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Greece

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

GER

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$4,100
$18
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Germany

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Greece and Germany. Resolution depends on the first goal scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with 'Neither' as an option if no goal is scored in that timeframe.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict define identical resolution criteria regarding the timing of the first goal, the 'Neither' outcome, and handling of postponements/cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the outcome.
  • If neither team scores within the specified timeframe, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are explicitly excluded from consideration.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: The market will remain open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market will resolve to 'Neither'.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting. If no data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official final result is available, but no later than 24 hours after the event's conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Greece and Germany, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Greece" if Greece are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between Greece and Germany, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Greece" if Greece are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and internal analysis, while prediction markets are driven by real money at stake. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings and statistics, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate new information or unexpected developments, providing a dynamic comparison.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Greece vs. Germany first goal market can diverge due to several factors. Differences in user bases, trading activity, and the specific mechanisms for price discovery on each platform contribute to these variations. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to differing opinions reflected in the odds. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $640 overall – can influence price movements, with higher volume generally indicating greater confidence in a particular outcome. These dynamics create opportunities for arbitrage and highlight the diverse perspectives within the prediction market ecosystem.