TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:44 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Greece and Germany, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Greece vs. Germany match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Greece and Germany, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Greece vs. Germany match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets allow anyone to participate, incentivizing informed predictions. While sportsbooks may incorporate biases or limitations in their modeling, this market aggregates the insights of many individuals. However, sportsbook odds can still offer valuable context, and discrepancies may present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the potential outcome of the Greece vs. Germany match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Greece vs. Germany match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports body. Traders who hold shares in the correct exact score will be paid out according to the market's payout structure at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Greece or Germany could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, potentially driven by expert analysis or prominent sports commentators, could influence trading activity. Real-time updates during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, would also cause rapid price fluctuations in this market.