TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
Greece hosts Germany in a high-profile UEFA Nations League clash on October 4, 2026. The match will be scrutinized for offensive output from both sides, with the outcome depending on whether each team registers at least one goal before the final whistle of regular time.
If Greece and Germany both score a goal in the Greece vs Germany UEFA Nations League match originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and need to account for profit margins, while this market allows traders to collectively express their beliefs about the probability of both teams scoring. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more efficient as more information and trading activity occur. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market absorbs new information and adjusts expectations regarding the Greece vs Germany match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes for both teams to score. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by traders’ individual assessments of the teams’ form, potential injuries, and other relevant factors influencing the likelihood of goals in the Greece vs Germany game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Greece and Germany score at least one goal during the match. If both teams score, the 'Yes' outcome will prevail; if either team fails to score, the 'No' outcome will be determined. The result will be based on the official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome for the Greece vs Germany fixture.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Greece or Germany would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or coaching changes could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, may contribute to changes in the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026.