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Greece vs. Germany
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Greece vs. Germany?

Volume:
$4,296,587

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$398,245
N/A
N/A
$260,711
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Greece vs. Germany)

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$83,914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
99%
74%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$15,318
$20,312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

GRC

View
1%
23%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$154
$57,923
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Greece

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$844,126
N/A
N/A
$542,312
Settled
No
polymarket

Greece

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157,874
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

GER

View
1%
52%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$217
$133,407
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Germany

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,548,297
N/A
N/A
$924,418
Settled
No
polymarket

Germany

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,052,489
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the UEFA Nations League soccer match between Greece and Germany. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA). Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 4, 2026, as the result within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic based on the official match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with a standardized fallback procedure for data availability and consistent handling of cancellations and postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, data from Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official match result is available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Greece and Germany.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Greece vs Germany UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either Greece or Germany occurs only if that team wins the match within regulation time; a tied result resolves the 'Tie' market as 'Yes.' If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price following Kalshi’s standard procedures. The markets exclusively consider regulation time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Greece and Germany.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Greece vs. Germany match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of one particular result, though opinions vary. The aggregated volume for this market is $4,296,587, with $3,680,732 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of how prediction market participants are assessing the potential results of the match, offering a different perspective than traditional analysis. We are aggregating data from multiple sources to provide a comprehensive view of the market.

Prediction market odds, like those seen in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. However, both prediction markets and sportsbooks are influenced by information and can converge as new data becomes available. It’s worth comparing both to get a well-rounded view.