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419,492

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4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Greece vs. England
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Greece vs. England?

Volume:
$736,160

England

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 2:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

England

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105,125
N/A
N/A
$84,522
Settled
Yes
polymarket

England

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,887
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Greece

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$401,006
N/A
N/A
$278,945
Settled
No
polymarket

Greece

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,272
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$160,085
N/A
N/A
$127,637
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Greece vs. England)

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,784
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the FIFA Women’s World Cup Qualifier match between Greece and England, scheduled for October 9, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of England winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. This market will resolve based on the official result of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, according to the resolution source. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 9, 2026, to see if England secures the win as currently predicted.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket specifies a 'No' resolution for a canceled game, while Kalshi's policy is unclear, potentially leaving the market open indefinitely.Hero tip: Consider the risk of a canceled game when trading on Kalshi, as the market might not resolve, and your position could remain open. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in this scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Resolution is based on official statistics, with fallback sources (Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus reporting). The market refers only to the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if either Greece or England wins, or if the game ends in a tie, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit policy is stated for game cancellations, suggesting the market may remain open.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Greece and England.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Greece vs England professional FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for either Greece or England occurs only if that specific team secures a victory during regular time. If the match concludes in a draw, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per platform policy. The markets exclusively consider regulation time results, with no account for post-match proceedings such as extra time, penalties, or award decisions.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market traders are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbooks typically offer more markets and may have different risk assessments. This market provides an alternative perspective on the likely result.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market design – how the outcome is defined and what is traded – can also contribute to discrepancies. Different interpretations of available information, or simply varying levels of trading activity on each platform, can lead to differing probabilities for the same event. The current volume of $736,160 suggests active trading, but the distribution across platforms is key to understanding any price differences.