TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:01 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Grazer AK 1902 and FC Salzburg, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Grazer AK 1902" if Grazer AK 1902 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Salzburg" if FC Salzburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Grazer AK 1902 and FC Salzburg, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Grazer AK 1902" if Grazer AK 1902 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Salzburg" if FC Salzburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket, aims to represent the true probability of either team scoring first, without an inherent profit margin for a central operator. While sportsbook odds might reflect public perception or biases, this market can sometimes provide a more accurate forecast, as traders are incentivized to make informed predictions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a team will score first, the higher the price of shares representing that team will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Grazer AK vs. FC Salzburg match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome of this market. Any disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available and widely accepted sources of information regarding the match results.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Grazer AK or Salzburg would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, could also shift trader sentiment. Even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or unexpected weather conditions impacting playing style could influence the odds. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.