TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 9:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming Swiss Super League soccer match between Grasshopper and Young Boys. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will reflect whether Grasshopper, Young Boys, or a tie occurs by the end of regulation time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Grasshopper vs Young Boys Swiss Super League soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. If Grasshopper wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Grasshopper' market resolves to Yes. If Young Boys wins under the same conditions, the 'Young Boys' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regulation and stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage, with no regard for extended play or penalty determinations.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest and information available. However, sportsbook odds can be useful for comparison, as they represent the views of professional oddsmakers. Discrepancies between the two can reveal potential opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market deems a fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a mechanism to ensure that prices remain rational and prevent manipulation, allowing for a transparent and efficient price discovery process. This dynamic pricing means the odds are constantly evolving based on new information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Grasshopper vs Young Boys match, as reported by official sources. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market, and any winning contracts will be paid out accordingly. The platform ensures a clear and transparent resolution process, providing confidence in the integrity of the market.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, general football news and analysis, as well as public sentiment expressed through polls or social media, can all contribute to price movements. Major upsets in other relevant matches or changes in betting patterns at sportsbooks could also influence trading activity in this market.