TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 4:28 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional soccer game in a top-tier league sees two teams battling for victory, with the result determined after the full 90 minutes and any stoppage time.
If Granada wins the Granada vs Valladolid professional La Liga 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Valladolid wins the Granada vs Valladolid professional La Liga 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Granada vs Valladolid professional La Liga 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that market participants have access to information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, or simply a different assessment of the probabilities. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Granada vs Valladolid match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to dynamic price changes. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Granada vs Valladolid match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Granada, a win for Valladolid, or a draw—actually occurred during the match. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Granada or Valladolid would likely cause significant movement. Team form, recent match results, and tactical changes announced by the managers could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match commentary from respected football analysts, could also impact trading activity. Essentially, any information that alters the perceived probability of each outcome has the potential to move this market.