TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Granada and Cadiz in La Liga 2. The result will be determined by the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether Granada wins, Cadiz wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Granada vs Cadiz professional La Liga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Granada or Cadiz markets occurs if the respective team wins the match within regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi’s standard procedures. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time including stoppage minutes.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. While sportsbooks may initially have different probabilities, prediction markets tend to converge towards a more accurate assessment as more information becomes available and traders refine their views. It's a useful comparison to see where the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Granada vs Cadiz match. The price of each contract reflects the current probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each possible result. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Granada vs Cadiz match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or positive/negative performance in recent matches, are likely to cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could also move the market, as these actions signal a change in perceived probability. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market.