TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:14 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the La Liga 2 game, scheduled for October 18 at 10:15 AM ET.
More markets for the La Liga 2 game, scheduled for October 18 at 10:15 AM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, you might find discrepancies between the probabilities implied by the odds on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying information access, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth – the number of shares available to buy or sell at different price points – also influences price discovery, providing insight into the strength of conviction behind each prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Granada vs. Cádiz match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on the final score and any applicable rules governing the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Key events include any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Granada or Cádiz, changes in team formations, or updates on weather conditions that might affect the match. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate a change in market perception and trigger price movements.