TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:58 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming KBL game, scheduled for October 16 at 6:00AM ET: If the Goyang win, the market will resolve to "Goyang". If the Mobis Phoebus win, the market will resolve to "Mobis Phoebus". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming KBL game, scheduled for October 16 at 6:00AM ET: If the Goyang win, the market will resolve to "Goyang". If the Mobis Phoebus win, the market will resolve to "Mobis Phoebus". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has more informed traders. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand for these shares, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential results.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Key player injuries, changes in team performance, and even coaching decisions could all shift expectations. Unexpected results in regular season games or playoff upsets would likely cause significant price movements. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams can also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Any news that alters the perceived probability of either team winning the KBL championship has the potential to move this market.